Which Football Bowl Subdivision conference was the strongest at the end of the 2022 regular season? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EE06S7WQAY
Friday, December 9, 2022
Wednesday, December 4, 2019
2019 SEC Championship Game: Georgia vs. LSU
Georgia faces LSU for the SEC Championship. https://lastwordoncollegefootball.com/2019/12/04/georgia-and-lsu-meet-in-atlanta-again/
Thursday, October 17, 2019
LSU needs to learn from the mistakes of the past.
https://lastwordoncollegefootball.com/2019/10/17/deja-vu-for-lsu-12-years-later/
Friday, October 11, 2019
The Saints travel to Jacksonville.
The Saints travel to Jacksonville. https://athlonsports.com/nfl/new-orleans-saints-vs-jacksonville-jaguars-prediction-picks-2019
Saturday, October 5, 2019
Tampa Bay at New Orleans 2019
The Saints host the Buccaneers. https://athlonsports.com/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-vs-new-orleans-saints-prediction-picks-2019
Sunday, September 29, 2019
Saturday, September 14, 2019
Sunday, October 21, 2018
FBS Conference Rankings After September 2018
There is a never-ending debate about which Football Bowl Subdivision conference is superior to the others. As a contribution to the argument, I present the rankings of the ten FBS conferences according to my creation, the Harvey System. This system ranks the ten FBS conferences in an objective fashion. Teams earn points for their conferences based on victories versus other FBS teams. Victories on the road are worth more than those at home or at neutral sites. Wins against other conferences’ champions, divisional or overall, are worth additional points.
These are the scores of the ten FBS conferences after September 2018:
Big Ten: .669
The Big Ten holds a 3-1 record against both the ACC and Big 12. It has only played two FCS opponents and defeated both.
2. Southeastern: .605
The SEC has a winning record against eight of the other FBS conferences. The only exception is the American Athletic which no SEC team has played yet. Eleven of the SEC’s wins came at the expense of FCS opponents.
3. Atlantic Coast: .500
The ACC is 1-3 versus the Big 10 and 1-2 against the SEC. Twelve of the ACC’s wins occurred over FCS members. The ACC is ranked ahead of the Big 12 due to the ACC’s victory in the sole meeting between the two conferences.
4. Big Twelve: .500
The Big 12 won all ten games versus the Group of 5 conferences. However, the conference has losing records against the Big 10 (1-3), SEC (1-2) and ACC (0-1). Kansas’ loss to Nichols State gave the conference a loss in seven contests against FCS teams.
- Pacific Twelve: .478
The PAC 12 lost both games against the Big 12 and its sole matchup with the SEC. The PAC 12 won nine of its games versus FCS members.
- American Athletic .385
The AAC has held its own in games against some Power Five conferences, 2-0 versus the Pacific 12, 2-2 versus the Big Ten and 3-3 versus the ACC. The AAC has lost two of its ten games versus FCS teams.
- Mountain West .314
The MWC managed to win three of its nine games against the PacifIc 12. The MWC lost all three matches with the Big 10. The MWC lost one of its nine contests versus FCS opponents.
- Sun Belt .281
The SBC did not lose any of its eight contests against FCS teams. However, the SBC lost both games versus the ACC and all six against the SEC.
- Mid-American .216
The MAC won all nine games against FCS opponents. It won only three of its eleven matchups with its neighbors in the Big Ten. It lost both games versus the SEC and all five versus the ACC.
- Conference USA .194. CUSA had an 8-2 record versus FCS opponents in September. CUSA lost all three games versus the AAC and both against the Big Ten.
Friday, September 7, 2018
Buccaneers at Saints 2018
The Saints host the Buccaneers to open the 2018 season. https://athlonsports.com/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-vs-new-orleans-saints-prediction-picks-2018
Saturday, January 13, 2018
NFC Divisional Playoffs: Saints at Vikings
The Vikings & Saints have re-match of Monday Night Football's season opener in the playoffs. https://athlonsports.com/nfl/nfc-divisional-playoff-preview-and-predictions-new-orleans-saints-vs-minnesota-vikings-2018
Friday, November 10, 2017
Ranking the Football Bowl Subdivision Conferences After October 2017
There is a never-ending debate about
which Football Bowl Subdivision conference is superior to the
others. As a contribution to the argument, I present the rankings of the
ten FBS conferences according to my creation, the Harvey System. This system
ranks the ten FBS conferences in an objective fashion. Teams earn points for
their conferences based on victories versus other FBS teams. Victories on the
road are worth more than those at home or at neutral sites. Wins against other
conferences’ champions, divisional or overall, are worth additional
points.
Relatively few inter-conference games
occurred during the second month of the NCAA football season. However, some
shifts occurred in the order of the conferences as compared to September.
Big
Ten (.768)
The Big Ten far outpaces the other nine FBS
conferences. Its fourteen members are undefeated against four other
conferences: Conference USA (4-0), Mountain West (5-0), Southeastern (2-0) and
Sun Belt (3-0).
However,
the Big Ten is far from perfect. This group split its four games versus the
ACC. They also are 1-2 against both the Pacific 12 and the American Athletic.
Additionally, they lost two of their nine match-ups with the MAC.
Southeastern
(.638)
The SEC is showing signs of collective decline
from its lofty status. Among these are 0-2 marks versus both the Big Ten and
Pacific Twelve. Its ranking is further diminished by eleven of its 31 out-of-conference
victories occurring against FBS members.
All is not doom and gloom for the SEC. In the
first month of this season, they won as many games versus the ACC (four) as
they did during all of last season, in only five match-ups so far. Also, the
conference barely slipped ahead of the PAC-12 after the results of October.
Pacific
Twelve (.621)
The Pacific Twelve is 2-0 versus Conference USA,
the SEC and Sun Belt Conference, respectively. The PAC-12 did not have as many
victories against the Mountain West as in the past, having lost three so far.
Nearly half of the PAC 12’s wins occurred against members of the Football Championship
Subdivision.
Atlantic
Coast (.535)
The ACC has not been able to carry over its
impressive finish of the 2016 season into this year. Against the rest of the Power
Five, the ACC is only 5-9. The ACC has lost all three of its games against
Notre Dame. Nine wins over FBS teams should not impress anyone.
At the least the ACC has dominated the Group of
Five. They are 6-0 versus the Mid-American Conference as well as 2-0 against
both the AAC and MWC.
Big
Twelve (.500)
Just as occurred after September of last season,
the Big Twelve is the weakest of the Power Five conferences. The primary reason
that the Big Twelve can be considered slightly stronger than the American
Athletic Conference is its 5-0 record versus the AAC. The Big Twelve has a
1-2 tally against the ACC, Big Ten and MAC. Versus each of the other two Power
Five conferences, the Big Twelve is 1-1. Further degrading the Big Twelve
is the fact that 30 percent of their wins came at the expense of FCS members.
Also, Baylor lost to an FCS opponent.
American
Athletic (.488)
The AAC has consistently demonstrated that some
its members can knock off teams from the Power Five. Their success against the
Big Ten (2-1) and Pacific Twelve (2-0) proves that. However, they have not
all succeeded when given the chance to face Power Five teams evidenced by the
lack of wins versus the ACC in two tries and losing all five contests
against the Big Twelve.
Conference
USA (.290)
Conference USA managed one win versus both the
ACC and Big Twelve. However, they lost their other sixteen matches against
teams from Power Five conferences. They are 9-1 versus the FCS with
Charlotte having lost to North Carolina A&T.
Mid-American
(.281)
The MAC does not have one member dominating all
the rest as in last season. However, the conference has scored more notable
victories than in 2016. They have scored a pair of victories over the Big Ten.
The MAC also holds a 2-1 advantage over the Big Twelve. However, the MAC does
not have a winning record against any other FBS conference. Exactly half of the
MAC’s non-conference wins were against FCS teams.
Mountain
West (.216)
The members of the Mountain West did not all
serve as the punching bag for PAC 12 teams as per usual. The MWC won three of
ten games against their neighbors on the West Coast. Those lifted the MWC out
of the basement of the FBS conference rankings.
However, the MWC lost all ten of its match-ups
with the other four Power Five conferences. The MWC piled up nine wins over
teams from the FCS. One member, UNLV, lost to Howard, an FCS opponent.
Sun
Belt (.001)
The Sun Belt has looked dreadful. They have a losing
record against all the other FBS conferences except the Mid-American with whom
they split their two match-ups. They have more wins against FCS members (seven)
than against FBS teams (six). The SBC lost three of ten contests with FCS
opponents. The only bright spot for the SBC is one win among their six games
versus the SEC.
These rankings are only based on the games played through the end of October. The order and numbers could change considering multiple out-of-conference games will be played in November as well as the plethora of bowls games.
Thursday, November 9, 2017
Monday, October 30, 2017
FBS Conference Rankings After September 2017
The first month of the 2017 NCAA football season
has been completed. As a contribution to the never-ending debate about which
FBS conference is superior to the others, I present the rankings of the
ten FBS conferences according to my creation, the Harvey System.
This system ranks the ten FBS conferences in an
objective fashion. Teams earn points for their conferences based on victories
versus other FBS teams. Victories on the road are worth more than those at home
or at neutral sites. Wins against other conferences’ champions, divisional or
overall, are worth additional points.
CONFERENCE SCORE
Big
Ten .787
Pacific
Twelve .647
Southeastern .605
Atlantic
Coast .561
American
Athletic .500
Big
Twelve
.500
Mid-American
.287
Conference
USA .281
Mountain
West
.195
Sun Belt .038
Friday, August 4, 2017
Big 10 vs. SEC Football Challenge
Here are some proposed match-ups for a Big 10 vs. SEC
Challenge in football.
https://athlonsports.com/college-football/proposed-big-ten-versus-sec-football-challenge
Labels:
Alabama,
Arkansas,
Auburn,
Big 10,
college football,
Florida,
Georgia,
LSU,
Michigan,
Michigan State,
NCAA football,
Nebraska,
Ohio State,
Penn State,
SEC,
South Carolina,
Tennessee,
Texas A&M,
Wisconsin
Friday, July 14, 2017
The Future of Sean Payton in New Orleans
Should Sean Payton stay in New Orleans or be shown the door? https://athlonsports.com/nfl/future-sean-payton-new-orleans-saints-two-opposing-views
Friday, June 23, 2017
5 Ways to Improve the National Football League
The National Football League is great but not perfect. Here are 5 ways
it can be improved.
https://athlonsports.com/nfl/five-ways-improve-national-football-league-2017
Thursday, May 25, 2017
A Few Steps Forward, One Step Back: Analyzing Mark Dantonio's First 10 Years at Michigan State
Dantonio's first decade in East Lansing has produced a roller coaster of success.
https://athlonsports.com/college-football/analyzing-mark-dantonios-first-10-years-michigan-state
Friday, January 13, 2017
Final Ranking of FBS Conferences in 2016
Now
that the final game of the 2016 season has ended, it is time to settle an
annual question: Which FBS conference is the toughest? I present the rankings
of the ten conferences using my objective formula.
Here is an overview
of the factors that comprise each conferences score:
1. Wins by each
member of every conference when facing non-conference foes.
2. Games on the road
are worth more than those at neutral sites or at home.
3. Victories versus
other conferences’ champions or second-place teams/divisional winners count for
more points.
4. Wins against FBS
opponents have much more value than those against FCS members.
Below is how the 10
conferences measure up compared to one another following the bowl games. Each
conference’s score is in parenthesis. For those curious about the scale of my
formula, a perfect score for a conference is 3.188.
Atlantic
Coast (.765)
The
ACC plodded through the first three weeks of the season. The unimpressive
performances continued late into November. These included every member playing
an FCS opponent with one loss to team from the lower division. The ACC split
the eight games versus the FBS Independents.
The mediocrity ended when the group went 9-0 in non-conference games on the last weekend of September. A remarkable winning streak started on Thanksgiving weekend, taking three of four intra-state matches versus the SEC. The success continued in the post-season with nine victories in twelve bowl games. During the season, ACC members defeated the champions of the AAC, Big Ten and SEC.
Southeastern
(.731)
The
SEC shook off a lackluster start over Labor Day weekend to find success for the
most part. They won both bowl match-ups against the Big Ten to finish 2-1 versus the
conference widely considered the toughest after the regular season. The SEC
also swept all three games versus the PAC 12. Among their victories are two
wins over the champions of CUSA and one versus the PAC 12's champion.
Additionally, SEC teams defeated both co-champions of the Sun Belt Conference
plus the second-place team in CUSA and the Mid-American Conference.
Nevertheless, the SEC did falter late in the season. This included losing seven of the last ten games versus the ACC to finish 4-10 against their Southern neighbors. Dropping two of the three bowls versus the Big 12 left the SEC with a losing record versus that conference. Every conference member except Florida playing an FCS member also hurt the overall score for the SEC.
Big
Ten (.702)
This
group started the season with much fanfare and praise for its success in the
regular season. The conference won all six games versus the Mountain West and
both against the Big Twelve. The Big Ten also won four of its five matches with
the American Athletic Conference.
The Big Ten appeared to be on the verge of clinching the title of "Strongest FBS Conference". Bowl season ended that possibility when the Big Ten lost seven of its ten bowl games. The Big Ten finished with a losing record versus the ACC (2-6) and SEC (1-2). Two losses in eight games facing FCS members damaged their score as well.
Pacific
Twelve (.554)
The
PAC Twelve's ho-hum bowl record (3-3) continued its season-long mediocrity. For
every point of pride such winning both contests versus the ACC, there is a
negating factor such as losing all three games against the SEC. An also-ran in
the PAC Twelve defeated the Big Ten's champion. However, the Dozen from the Left
Coast still finished with a losing record (3-4) versus the Big Ten. The PAC
Twelve had twice as many wins over the Mountain West as losses yet that total
still means three defeats at the hands of that minor conference.
Big
Twelve (.507)
The
Big Twelve revealed itself as the weakest of the Power Five conferences after
the first three weeks of the season. Any realistic chance of one its
members reaching the College Football Playoffs evaporated before the official
start of autumn. The group finished 2-6 against the other Power Five members.
The AAC beat the Big Twelve in two of their four meetings. Seven of the
conference's 18 non-conference wins occurred over FCS teams. Four other
victories came at the expensive of Conference USA.
Commendable efforts in the post-season nudged the Big Twelve ahead of the minor conferences. The conference won four of its six bowls. The wins included taking two out of three versus the SEC. One victory occurred over the PAC Twelve's Southern Division champion.
American
Athletic (.500)
The
American Athletic Conference could hardly have experienced a more successful
regular season short of placing a team in the Playoff. The AAC had winning
totals against the MAC (4-0) and CUSA (4-2). The conference had respectable
results versus the Big Twelve (2-2) and ACC (4-6). One of those wins was over
the Big Twelve's champion.
The AAC blew a chance to finish in the top half of the conference rankings due to terrible performances in the post-season. The group won just two of seven bowls. Those included a loss versus one team each from the Mountain West and Sun Belt plus defeats in both bowls versus CUSA.
Mountain West (.455)
This
conference was unremarkable in so many ways. The MWC split its six contests
versus the MAC. It finished 6-5 against the Sun Belt. No member defeated any
other conference's champion. It only faced one opponent from the Power Five
conferences in a bowl game, a loss to a Big Twelve member.
A few bright spots occurred this season for the MWC. In its seven bowls, the MWC won four. They won all five match-ups with Conference USA. This group scored victories over divisional winners in the American Athletic & Sun Belt conferences.
Sun Belt (.360)
The
Sun Belt's remarkable success in bowls boosted this group out of its perennial
ranking at the bottom of the list of FBS conferences. The SBC won four of its
six bowls. The season's results include winning four out of seven versus the
MAC, five out of eleven against the MWC and one of four versus CUSA. An SBC team
also defeated the champion of the MWC.
Despite
these improvements, the Sun Belt has a long way to go before being viewed as
nothing more than a bunch of rent-a-wins by the Power Five. Against those five
major conferences, the Sun Belt finished 1-16. The one win occurred against an
SEC team that finished with a losing record.
Conference USA (.322)
CUSA
struggled against the Power Five conferences. Their losing records included
results against the ACC (0-5), Big 12 (0-4), PAC 12 (0-2) and SEC (2-7).
Additionally, CUSA lost all five games versus the MWC.
CUSA
did manage a few accomplishments. It split its eight games versus the AAC. The
conference won four of its seven bowls. The group avoided the embarrassment of
losing to an FCS member, having won all 12 games versus the lower
division.
Mid-American (.241)
The
MAC had one of the two teams that headed into the bowl season still undefeated.
Their collectively putrid performances on the field justified Western
Michigan's exclusion from the College Football Playoff. The MAC lost all six
bowl games. Apparently, no one on the committee forgot that the MAC lost
four games out of the thirteen the group played versus FCS teams.
On
the bright side. the MAC had a few notable wins. The MAC won both games versus
the Big Twelve. Also, the MAC took two of the eight contests versus the Big
Ten.
Let
the debate over the strongest conference rage until August when the battle
returns to the gridiron!
Thursday, December 22, 2016
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints 2016
The Bucs try to regain 1st place in the NFC South vs. the Saints in New Orleans. http://athlonsports.com/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-vs-new-orleans-saints-preview-and-prediction-2016
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
NFL's Hypocrisy on Starting Times
The New York Jets were scheduled to host the Tennessee Titans at 4:15 PM EDT on September 27, 2009. After complaints that the late kickoff approached sunset and the start of Yom Kippur, the NFL moved the kickoff up to 1 PM local time. The league made this change out of deference to the Jets' Jewish fans. The league made a courteous decision to satisfy some of the fans' desire to be home before sunset.
However, a few weeks ago, the NFL pushed back the starting time of the Buccaneers' game in New Orleans from noon CST to 3:25 PM this Saturday. Does no one in the NFL's office realize that the game is scheduled on the day before Christmas? Why did the NFL disregard the wishes of many Saints' fans who will have to curtail or forego their planned celebrations for Christmas Eve if they want to attend or watch the game on television? Both holidays are considered among the most important for the respective adherents of the respective religions.
I do not have a list of fans for either the Jets or Saints so I do not know their religious affiliations. However, based on numerous polls and surveys, Jews do not comprise the majority of those in the New York metropolitan area. Christians are the overwhelming majority in the New Orleans metropolitan area. Hey, NFL, why accommodate one religious group in the minority but not the huge number of others from another group?
However, a few weeks ago, the NFL pushed back the starting time of the Buccaneers' game in New Orleans from noon CST to 3:25 PM this Saturday. Does no one in the NFL's office realize that the game is scheduled on the day before Christmas? Why did the NFL disregard the wishes of many Saints' fans who will have to curtail or forego their planned celebrations for Christmas Eve if they want to attend or watch the game on television? Both holidays are considered among the most important for the respective adherents of the respective religions.
I do not have a list of fans for either the Jets or Saints so I do not know their religious affiliations. However, based on numerous polls and surveys, Jews do not comprise the majority of those in the New York metropolitan area. Christians are the overwhelming majority in the New Orleans metropolitan area. Hey, NFL, why accommodate one religious group in the minority but not the huge number of others from another group?
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