Now
that the final game of the 2016 season has ended, it is time to settle an
annual question: Which FBS conference is the toughest? I present the rankings
of the ten conferences using my objective formula.
Here is an overview
of the factors that comprise each conferences score:
1. Wins by each
member of every conference when facing non-conference foes.
2. Games on the road
are worth more than those at neutral sites or at home.
3. Victories versus
other conferences’ champions or second-place teams/divisional winners count for
more points.
4. Wins against FBS
opponents have much more value than those against FCS members.
Below is how the 10
conferences measure up compared to one another following the bowl games. Each
conference’s score is in parenthesis. For those curious about the scale of my
formula, a perfect score for a conference is 3.188.
Atlantic
Coast (.765)
The
ACC plodded through the first three weeks of the season. The unimpressive
performances continued late into November. These included every member playing
an FCS opponent with one loss to team from the lower division. The ACC split
the eight games versus the FBS Independents.
The mediocrity ended when the group went 9-0 in non-conference games on the last weekend of September. A remarkable winning streak started on Thanksgiving weekend, taking three of four intra-state matches versus the SEC. The success continued in the post-season with nine victories in twelve bowl games. During the season, ACC members defeated the champions of the AAC, Big Ten and SEC.
Southeastern
(.731)
The
SEC shook off a lackluster start over Labor Day weekend to find success for the
most part. They won both bowl match-ups against the Big Ten to finish 2-1 versus the
conference widely considered the toughest after the regular season. The SEC
also swept all three games versus the PAC 12. Among their victories are two
wins over the champions of CUSA and one versus the PAC 12's champion.
Additionally, SEC teams defeated both co-champions of the Sun Belt Conference
plus the second-place team in CUSA and the Mid-American Conference.
Nevertheless, the SEC did falter late in the season. This included losing seven of the last ten games versus the ACC to finish 4-10 against their Southern neighbors. Dropping two of the three bowls versus the Big 12 left the SEC with a losing record versus that conference. Every conference member except Florida playing an FCS member also hurt the overall score for the SEC.
Big
Ten (.702)
This
group started the season with much fanfare and praise for its success in the
regular season. The conference won all six games versus the Mountain West and
both against the Big Twelve. The Big Ten also won four of its five matches with
the American Athletic Conference.
The Big Ten appeared to be on the verge of clinching the title of "Strongest FBS Conference". Bowl season ended that possibility when the Big Ten lost seven of its ten bowl games. The Big Ten finished with a losing record versus the ACC (2-6) and SEC (1-2). Two losses in eight games facing FCS members damaged their score as well.
Pacific
Twelve (.554)
The
PAC Twelve's ho-hum bowl record (3-3) continued its season-long mediocrity. For
every point of pride such winning both contests versus the ACC, there is a
negating factor such as losing all three games against the SEC. An also-ran in
the PAC Twelve defeated the Big Ten's champion. However, the Dozen from the Left
Coast still finished with a losing record (3-4) versus the Big Ten. The PAC
Twelve had twice as many wins over the Mountain West as losses yet that total
still means three defeats at the hands of that minor conference.
Big
Twelve (.507)
The
Big Twelve revealed itself as the weakest of the Power Five conferences after
the first three weeks of the season. Any realistic chance of one its
members reaching the College Football Playoffs evaporated before the official
start of autumn. The group finished 2-6 against the other Power Five members.
The AAC beat the Big Twelve in two of their four meetings. Seven of the
conference's 18 non-conference wins occurred over FCS teams. Four other
victories came at the expensive of Conference USA.
Commendable efforts in the post-season nudged the Big Twelve ahead of the minor conferences. The conference won four of its six bowls. The wins included taking two out of three versus the SEC. One victory occurred over the PAC Twelve's Southern Division champion.
American
Athletic (.500)
The
American Athletic Conference could hardly have experienced a more successful
regular season short of placing a team in the Playoff. The AAC had winning
totals against the MAC (4-0) and CUSA (4-2). The conference had respectable
results versus the Big Twelve (2-2) and ACC (4-6). One of those wins was over
the Big Twelve's champion.
The AAC blew a chance to finish in the top half of the conference rankings due to terrible performances in the post-season. The group won just two of seven bowls. Those included a loss versus one team each from the Mountain West and Sun Belt plus defeats in both bowls versus CUSA.
Mountain West (.455)
This
conference was unremarkable in so many ways. The MWC split its six contests
versus the MAC. It finished 6-5 against the Sun Belt. No member defeated any
other conference's champion. It only faced one opponent from the Power Five
conferences in a bowl game, a loss to a Big Twelve member.
A few bright spots occurred this season for the MWC. In its seven bowls, the MWC won four. They won all five match-ups with Conference USA. This group scored victories over divisional winners in the American Athletic & Sun Belt conferences.
Sun Belt (.360)
The
Sun Belt's remarkable success in bowls boosted this group out of its perennial
ranking at the bottom of the list of FBS conferences. The SBC won four of its
six bowls. The season's results include winning four out of seven versus the
MAC, five out of eleven against the MWC and one of four versus CUSA. An SBC team
also defeated the champion of the MWC.
Despite
these improvements, the Sun Belt has a long way to go before being viewed as
nothing more than a bunch of rent-a-wins by the Power Five. Against those five
major conferences, the Sun Belt finished 1-16. The one win occurred against an
SEC team that finished with a losing record.
Conference USA (.322)
CUSA
struggled against the Power Five conferences. Their losing records included
results against the ACC (0-5), Big 12 (0-4), PAC 12 (0-2) and SEC (2-7).
Additionally, CUSA lost all five games versus the MWC.
CUSA
did manage a few accomplishments. It split its eight games versus the AAC. The
conference won four of its seven bowls. The group avoided the embarrassment of
losing to an FCS member, having won all 12 games versus the lower
division.
Mid-American (.241)
The
MAC had one of the two teams that headed into the bowl season still undefeated.
Their collectively putrid performances on the field justified Western
Michigan's exclusion from the College Football Playoff. The MAC lost all six
bowl games. Apparently, no one on the committee forgot that the MAC lost
four games out of the thirteen the group played versus FCS teams.
On
the bright side. the MAC had a few notable wins. The MAC won both games versus
the Big Twelve. Also, the MAC took two of the eight contests versus the Big
Ten.
Let
the debate over the strongest conference rage until August when the battle
returns to the gridiron!